国家新型能源布局下“十五五”时期选煤厂柔性生产设计体系构建研究

    Research on the construction of a flexible production design system for coal preparation plants in the “15th Five-Year Plan” period under the national new energy layout

    • 摘要: 为适配“十五五”时期国家能源安全战略、“双碳”目标与煤炭下游市场多元化需求,破解传统刚性设计选煤厂难以抵御原煤煤质、市场供需、产能调度多重不确定性的行业瓶颈,依托国内原煤生产、煤炭洗选行业历年统计数据与现行行业政策文件,系统梳理煤炭洗选设计七十余年发展脉络,借鉴制造业成熟柔性生产理论,提出原料柔性、流程柔性、设备柔性三大核心支撑要素,搭建工艺系统弹性化、设备布局智能化、产品结构多元化、运维响应敏捷化四维柔性设计体系,创新性构建“10-24-5”运营模型开展经济适配性论证。结果表明:刚性设计模式下选煤厂存在原煤缓冲调节能力缺失、工艺流程固化、设备配置失衡等固有短板,三大柔性要素可实现原煤波动前置缓冲、分选流程模块化重构、分选设备自适应智能调控,四维落地路径可同步实现生产、设备、产品、运维全链条动态适配,“10-24-5”运营模型能够显著提升选煤厂应对外部市场与生产波动的综合竞争力。柔性化设计是“十五五”时期选煤厂实现弹性、高效、可持续运行的核心路径,通过修订行业设计标准、攻关大型智能分选装备、建设区域性巨型智能选煤示范工程,可推动煤炭洗选行业由固定产能、固定产品的静态生产模式转向以市场需求为导向的动态价值生产模式。

       

      Abstract: To adapt to the national energy security strategy, dual-carbon development goals, and diversified downstream coal market demands during the “15th Five-Year Plan” period, and to solve the industry bottleneck where traditional rigidly designed coal preparation plants struggle to resist multiple uncertainties from raw coal quality, market supply and demand, and capacity dispatching, this study systematically reviews the over 70-year evolution of coal preparation design relying on historical statistical data of domestic raw coal production and coal washing industries as well as current industry policy documents. Drawing on mature flexible production theory from manufacturing, three core supporting elements—raw material flexibility, process flexibility, and equipment flexibility—are proposed. A four-dimensional flexible design system is established, featuring flexible process systems, intelligent equipment layouts, diversified product structures, and agile operation and maintenance responses. Furthermore, an innovative “10-24-5” operation model is constructed for economic adaptability validation. The results show that under the rigid design model, coal preparation plants suffer from inherent drawbacks such as a lack of raw coal buffering and regulation capabilities, rigid process flows, and unbalanced equipment configurations. The three core flexible elements can achieve front-end buffering of raw coal fluctuations, modular reconstruction of separation processes, and adaptive intelligent control of separation equipment. The four-dimensional implementation pathways can synchronously achieve dynamic full-chain adaptation across production, equipment, products, and operation/maintenance. The “10-24-5” operation model can significantly boost the overall competitiveness of coal preparation plants in coping with external market and production fluctuations. Flexible design serves as the core pathway for coal preparation plants to achieve resilient, efficient, and sustainable operations during the “15th Five-Year Plan” period. By revising industry design standards, tackling key technologies in large-scale intelligent separation equipment, and constructing regional mega intelligent coal preparation demonstration projects, the coal washing industry can be driven to transition from a static production model characterized by fixed capacity and fixed products to a dynamic, market-driven value produc-tion model.

       

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